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04–06 Sep · Monza · Round 13

Results

Italian Grand Prix 2026 predictions

The Italian Grand Prix is complete.

Monza time
Practice 1
Fri 4 Sept, 12:30 CEST
Practice 2
Fri 4 Sept, 16:00 CEST
Practice 3
Sat 5 Sept, 12:30 CEST
Qualifying
Sat 5 Sept, 16:00 CEST
Grand Prix
Sun 6 Sept, 15:00 CEST

How Monza finished

The official classification, which is what picks are scored against.

Qualifying

Official Qualifying top five
PosDriver
P1
GASPierre Gasly
P2
RUSGeorge Russell
P3
PIAOscar Piastri
P4
LECCharles Leclerc
P5
HAMLewis Hamilton

Race

Official Race top five
PosDriver
P1
ANTKimi Antonelli
P2
RUSGeorge Russell
P3
VERMax Verstappen
P4
NORLando Norris
P5
PIAOscar Piastri

How players picked this weekend

Everyone’s picks, as they stood at each deadline. The order weights a driver by the positions they were picked in, so a driver everyone put second ranks above one everyone put fifth. Where a session has been classified, the score is what this five would have earned, and the driver who took P1 is marked.

Qualifying

10 entries, worth 5 of 25

Qualifying pick rates, in the order players collectively placed the drivers
PosDriverPicked by
P1
RUSGeorge Russell
100%
P2
LECCharles Leclerc
70%
P3
HAMLewis Hamilton
90%
P4
ANTKimi Antonelli
60%
P5
VERMax Verstappen
60%
P6
NORLando Norris
70%
P7
PIAOscar Piastri
30%
P8
ALBAlex Albon
10%
GASPierre GaslyPole
0%

Race

14 entries, worth 7 of 25

Race pick rates, in the order players collectively placed the drivers
PosDriverPicked by
P1
RUSGeorge Russell
92.9%
P2
LECCharles Leclerc
92.9%
P3
HAMLewis Hamilton
92.9%
P4
VERMax Verstappen
50%
P5
ANTKimi AntonelliWon
42.9%
P6
NORLando Norris
35.7%
P7
PIAOscar Piastri
50%
P8
GASPierre Gasly
28.6%

What decided the race

Leclerc was out on lap 2. He put a left-rear wheel on a drain cover at Parabolica, spun through the gravel and hit the barrier hard enough to red-flag the race, and climbed out unaided. Read the race report (opens in a new tab).

Antonelli started 19th, after the power unit change this page previewed on Thursday. He was sixth by lap 4 of the restarted race and led by lap 18, and Mercedes let the two cars swap from there.

A virtual safety car on lap 28, for Stroll’s hydraulic failure, settled it. Antonelli pitted for fresh mediums and Russell stayed out on used hards that faded over the closing stint. Antonelli ran wide through the gravel with five laps left, lost a second and a half, and passed Russell on lap 50 of 53 to win by 3.8s. He is the first Italian to win at Monza since Ludovico Scarfiotti in 1966. Read the F1 race report (opens in a new tab).

The classification above is final. Russell was investigated for a yellow flag while leading and Tsunoda for his position at the restart, and both were cleared. The one penalty applied after the flag was five seconds for Perez, for failing to follow the race director’s instructions, which moved him from 18th to 19th. Read the final classification (opens in a new tab).

Antonelli leaves Monza on 267 points, 66 clear of Russell. Read the championship standings (opens in a new tab).

The two tables above disagree in three places. Gasly took pole without appearing in the qualifying consensus at all. Leclerc and Hamilton, second and third in the race consensus, finished out and sixth. And Antonelli, who won from 19th, was the fifth name on that list.

Next round

Round 15 is the Azerbaijan Grand Prix. Read the Baku predictions.

The FIA declared a heat hazard

The official forecast put the heat index above 31°C for the race, which is the threshold in Article B1.5.10. Austria in June was the season’s first heat hazard.

A heat hazard makes the driver cooling system mandatory and raises the minimum weight by 5kg to cover the kit and its battery. Wearing the vest is still the driver’s choice, and anyone who leaves it off carries 0.5kg of ballast instead. Read the race director’s notice (opens in a new tab).

Alexander Albon’s Williams on track at Monza in 2025, under hard overhead sun with its shadow directly beneath it
Monza, 2025. Photo: Eustace Bagge, CC BY 4.0 (cropped and resized)

What matters at Monza

A speed-trap result can be inflated by a tow, so clean laps, braking and long runs are what separate the cars here.

km circuit
5.793
race laps
53
full throttle
80%
km main straight
1.1

Straight-line pace

Speed without relying on a tow. A car with low drag is quick on every lap. A tow only helps when there is a car close ahead.

Heavy braking

A settled car into Rettifilo (Turns 1–2) and Roggia (Turns 4–5). Lock-ups or poor rotation make overtaking and tyre life harder.

Corner exits

Traction out of the chicanes. A weak exit gives away speed for the length of the next straight.

Long runs

Consistent pace over several laps. A qualifying lap says nothing about how a car holds its tyres over a stint.

Where overtakes happen

Monza has four straight-mode zones. Three end in heavy braking: Rettifilo (Turns 1–2), Roggia (Turns 4–5) and Ascari (Turns 8–10).

The kerbs at Turns 1, 4 and 8 have been rebuilt for 2026, and the gravel on the exit of Roggia is now asphalt run-off. Read Pirelli’s Monza preview (opens in a new tab).

Monza lap map. Turns are numbered 1 to 11 clockwise from the end of the main straight, with the three sectors, four straight-mode zones, the speed trap on the main straight, and the Overtake detection and activation points either side of Turn 11.
1–2 Rettifilo3 Curva Grande4–5 Roggia6–7 Lesmo8–10 Ascari11 Parabolica

The fourth ends at Parabolica (Turn 11), which is quicker and lighter on the brakes than the three chicanes. Overtake detection sits just before it, so a driver who gets through there close behind keeps the tow onto the main straight and can use Overtake down it, into Rettifilo. That is where most passes happen.

Rettifilo compresses the field into one heavy stop on lap one, so a driver at the back of your Top 5 carries more opening-lap risk here than at most circuits.

A McLaren running over the green, white and red kerb on the exit of a Monza chicane in 2025
Monza, 2025. Photo: Eustace Bagge, CC BY 4.0 (resized)

Monza gets the three softest tyres

  • C1

    Not used at Monza

  • C2

    Not used at Monza

  • C3

    Hard

  • C4

    Medium

  • C5

    Soft

Lasts longerMore grip

Tyres wear most in fast corners. Monza has few of those, so the C5 can last longer here than it usually does.

A stop at Monza costs more time than at almost any other race, so teams will try to one-stop. Heat is the usual reason that fails. Pirelli expects the rears to overheat out of the chicanes rather than wear out, which keeps a one-stop on.

A one-stop puts the weight on qualifying and track position. A second stop favours the drivers who look after their tyres over the ones who are only quick over a single lap. Read Pirelli’s selection (opens in a new tab).

A Pirelli P Zero medium slick tyre on a Formula 1 car, with the yellow P Zero and Pirelli lettering on the sidewall
August 2026. Photo: TaurusEmerald, CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped and resized)

Common questions

Who won the 2026 Italian Grand Prix?

Kimi Antonelli, from 19th on the grid, ahead of George Russell and Max Verstappen. He is the first Italian to win at Monza since Ludovico Scarfiotti in 1966.

When was the 2026 Italian Grand Prix?

The Italian Grand Prix ran from 4 to 6 September 2026 at Monza, over 53 laps.

If a driver qualifies P4 and a grid penalty drops him to P14, what does my qualifying pick score?

The P4. Qualifying picks use the official qualifying classification. The grid penalty is applied afterwards, so a driver classified P4 counts as P4 for your qualifying picks even when they start P14 on Sunday.

Are other players’ picks visible before the session?

No. Picks stay private until the relevant session locks, so nobody can copy another player’s Top 5 before making their own call.

How are Italian Grand Prix predictions scored?

An exact Top 5 position earns 5 points, one position away earns 3, and selecting a driver who finishes elsewhere in the actual Top 5 earns 1 point.

Monza results

See the official Top 5 and how your predictions scored.

The leaderboard shows the current standings. Predictions this weekend covers every session that is still open.